NZDUSD Price Action: Pin Bar at Support. July 31, 2013.

 

The recent pullback on the Kiwi has been halted at the demand Zone (0.7960) . A Pin bar price action Trade Setup at this zone is quite significant as buyers could further push the pair higher. Entry will be based on the intraday time frames pending significant price action inline with the expected bullish move. Targets will be at about the recent high.

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GBPUSD Price Action: Pivot Top/ Inside Bar Combo at Resistance. July 29, 2013

 

 GBPUSD still faces significant bearish rejection after price price closed Friday as an inside bar, following the previous Pivot Top Price Action Trade Setup discussed in my last Trade Commentary on the pair. Price could therefore, fall into its demand Zone, however, if the demand zone fails to hold price and we get a break instead, we would then be in for a change in trend.

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EURGBP Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action close to Resistance. Against Market open July 28, 2013

 

 The EURGBP closed last Friday with an inside bar price Action Setup. In the present bullish market, price should aim higher but must first close above the mother bar of the inside bar setup. If that is achieved, price should then head towards the recent daily high whereas a failed attempt to close above this mother bar could send prices crashing lower, since price is already very close to its Resistance Zone.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Breaks out, remains bullish. July 25, 2013

 

"Break of supply Zone, further bullish bias" This was the headline to the last commentary I ran on the Kiwi and price has equally remained bullish, inline with expectations after a minor retracement into the zone I had considered as its new support. While we anticipate even further bullishness on this pair, it won't be out of place to get rotations back into its demand zones as indicated in the chart above. Bullish trade setups would be sort at about those zones if indeed the pair rotates lower.

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GBPUSD Price Action: Pivot Top Price Action Trade Setup. July 24, 2013

 

 The very bullish run of the Cable now seem to want to take a breather, going by the price action sell setup spotted at the close of trading today. A Pivot Top Price Action Setup (as we have on its daily chart now) is a three candle pattern where  the high of the middle candle is higher than both the highs of the candles to its left and to its right. It signals a reversal to the downside might be setting up. In the anticipation of the expected retracement or reversal, the trade room made an early sell entry, with a SL of just about 30pips at the time. Expectations are for the pair to be priced lower as we approach the last couple trading days of the week and if this happens, we will be watching the demand zones as depicted in the chart above for possible buy signals.

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EURUSD Price Action: Euro hits Resistance (Supply Zone). July 23, 2013

 

In the last commentary I ran on the euro on July 18, I did mention that the pair was yet bullish, despite trading deep into its supply zone (Resistance). The outcome has been the continued dominance of the bulls over the bears, however, after the pair failed to trade significantly higher from the previous days high, I would recommend a scaling out of long entries. The bullish bias remain and re-entries could be sort on retracements back into its demand zone as indicated above.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Break of Supply Zone. Further bullish bias. July 23 2013.

 

The Kiwi has broken through its supply zone after a failed Fakey with Pin Price Action Setup. A few of my students felt they had to trade that setup but I had cautioned against it and gave an extensive lesson on why not to in my advanced price action class. The Pin bar that was supposed to be the trigger had closed above a significant zone, which meant sellers couldn't push the price far into an area that would have triggered off a sell on the pair. Subsequently, the bulls still took charge and pushed prices above the Supply Zone and above the high of the supposed trigger Pin bar candle, hitting many stops of those who may have gone short on it. Following this scenario, fresh bullish intraday setups would be sort at about the New support.

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EURUSD DAILY Price Action: Pulls higher after July 18 Pin Bar. July 21, 2013

The EURO is on a bullish run. Despite being deep within its supply zone, buyers still seem to have an upper hand in the market and if the pressure is sustained, price could push out from this zone and into even higher prices. The entire scenarion is supported with the presence of a Pin Bar after the close of market on Thursday, July 18.

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EURJPY Price Action: Pin bar Trade Setup pulls significantly higher. Against Market Open, July 21, 2013

 

 On July 11th, I drew our attention to the Pin Bar Trade Setup on the pair and did a follow up on July 15. The pair has indeed continued to make higher prices as it now approaches its supply zone. It would be interesting to see how price reacts within this zone. Buyers could begin to scale out their long positions.

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Weekly Trade Room result: Week ending July 19, 2013.

InstaForex Companies Group

Account: 60607288		Name: APAFTT FX					Currency: USD		Leverage: 1:500		2013 July 21, 07:02
Closed Transactions:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P	Close Time	Price	Commission	Taxes	Swap	Profit
174057849	2013.07.12 00:31	buy	2.00	eurjpy	129.70	127.93	132.60	2013.07.16 20:18	130.27	0.00	0.00	0.32	114.99
174099649	2013.07.12 09:43	sell	2.00	usdjpy	99.01	100.64	97.44	2013.07.18 17:24	100.64	0.00	0.00	-0.36	-323.93
174124729	2013.07.12 12:08	sell	2.00	eurgbp	0.8614	0.8670	0.8488	2013.07.16 11:18	0.8670	0.00	0.00	-0.66	-168.87
174244698	2013.07.14 01:52	balance	trade result for 2013-05										351.89
174520788	2013.07.16 13:00	sell	2.00	eurusd	1.3077	0.0000	0.0000	2013.07.16 13:00	1.3079	0.00	0.00	0.00	-4.00
174521097	2013.07.16 13:01	buy	2.00	eurusd	1.3081	1.2993	1.3175	2013.07.17 14:52	1.3130	0.00	0.00	0.20	98.00
174610243	2013.07.16 20:00	sell	2.00	gbpjpy	149.89	151.06	148.74	2013.07.17 11:30	151.06	0.00	0.00	-0.26	-234.54
174731432	2013.07.17 13:39	sell	2.00	usdcad	1.0390	1.0440	1.0173	2013.07.17 18:29	1.0440	0.00	0.00	0.00	-95.79
174714092	2013.07.17 15:38	buy	2.00	usdzar	9.8706	9.7676	10.0251	2013.07.18 17:25	9.8924	0.00	0.00	-6.80	44.07
174915423	2013.07.18 09:04	sell	2.00	euraud	1.4275	1.4306	1.4224	2013.07.18 09:39	1.4306	0.00	0.00	0.00	-56.86
174939738	2013.07.18 12:01	buy	2.00	audusd	0.9173	0.9035	0.9295	2013.07.19 14:13	0.9225	0.00	0.00	1.36	104.00
174943509	2013.07.18 12:42	sell	2.00	eurnzd	1.6643	1.6762	1.6321	2013.07.19 14:13	1.6447	0.00	0.00	1.11	313.01
175089288	2013.07.19 09:21	sell	2.00	usdzar	9.9157	9.9541	9.8531	2013.07.19 14:06	9.8531	0.00	0.00	0.00	127.07
175099894	2013.07.19 10:40	sell limit	2.00	eurchf	1.2380	0.0000	0.0000	2013.07.19 12:07	1.2371	cancelled
175099827	2013.07.19 12:00	sell	2.00	gbpchf	1.4377	1.4402	1.4375	2013.07.19 14:44	1.4375	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.25
										0.00	0.00	-5.09	-78.60
Closed P/L:												-83.69
Open Trades:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P		Price	Commission	Taxes	Swap	Profit
175099625	2013.07.19 11:54	sell	2.00	gbpcad	1.5821	1.5879	1.5648		1.5835	0.00	0.00	0.17	-27.00
175086173	2013.07.19 09:28	sell	2.00	usdcad	1.0377	1.0441	1.0206		1.0370	0.00	0.00	0.29	13.50
175151179	2013.07.19 16:33	sell	2.00	usdzar	9.8695	9.9551	9.3416		9.8814	0.00	0.00	1.10	-24.09
										0.00	0.00	1.56	-37.59
										Floating P/L:		-36.03
Working Orders:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P	Market Price
175117426	2013.07.19 12:34	buy limit	2.00	eurusd	1.3080	0.0000	0.0000		1.3144
Summary:
Deposit/Withdrawal:		351.89		Credit Facility:				0.00
Closed Trade P/L:		-83.69		Floating P/L:				-36.03	Margin:			141.00
Balance:		7 450.06		Equity:				7 414.03	Free Margin:			7 273.03
Details:
Gross Profit:		801.58		Gross Loss:				885.27	Total Net Profit:			-83.69
Profit Factor:		0.91		Expected Payoff:				-6.44
Absolute Drawdown:		671.76		Maximal Drawdown:				671.76 (8.92%)	Relative Drawdown:			8.92% (671.76)
Total Trades:		13		Short Positions (won %):				9 (33.33%)	Long Positions (won %):			4 (100.00%)
Profit Trades (% of total):								7 (53.85%)	Loss trades (% of total):			6 (46.15%)
Largest		profit trade:						314.12	loss trade:			-324.29
Average		profit trade:						114.51	loss trade:			-147.55
Maximum		consecutive wins ($):						5 (588.07)	consecutive losses ($):			3 (-476.94)
Maximal		consecutive profit (count):						588.07 (5)	consecutive loss (count):			-476.94 (3)
Average		consecutive wins:						2	consecutive losses:			2

USDCAD Price Action: Pin Bar at Resistance. July 18, 2013

 

On July 14, I drew our attention to the break of support on the USDCAD, pointing out that my bias had turned bearish as we waited to see, a significant attempt by price to close above the New Resistance. This is yet to happen since sellers have always pushed price below the new resistance both times the bulls have made such attempts withing the week. Today's failed bullish attempt has led to the formation of a Pin bar Price Action Trade Setup. Price should as a result, commence its bearish run as long as the the minor support gives way and price is unable to bridge this weeks high.

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AUDUSD Price Action: . Inside Bar Trade Setup Breaks North, July 17, 2013

 

 The Aussie seem to have found support after price broke out north from the Inside Bar Trade Setup at Key Support Zone. It is expected therefore that the bulls would kick in fully and attempt to push price higher into the next Key Supply Zone at about 0.9560. However, if this setup fails, price would make a quick dash back into the Key Support Zone and possibly lower.

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EURUSD Price Action: Pulls higher after Fakey with Pin Trade Setup pulls higher. July 16, 2013

EURUSD has continued to trade higher following the Fakey with Pin Price Action Trade Setup, with the pair succesfully shaking off its previous bearish undertone after it hit its Key Support (Demand Zone). The trade room managed to get in on a trade off the one hour time frame as its PA presented an oppurtunity to go long which was in tandem with the daily Setup. Price could now target its Key resistance (Supply Zone) if it manages to break the previous week's high.

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EURJPY Price Action: Pin bar Trade Setup pulls higher. July 15, 2013

 

 My trade commentary on this pair on 11th July spotted a Pin Bar Trade Setup on the pair, it also talked about the ascending trend-line as well as the pair being within its demand zone. The setup has eventually lead this pair higher but it now trades within its (Resistance) supply Zone. The overall trend still remains bullish unless we get significant Bearish Price Action Trade Setup at this zone, with subsequent confirmations at the lower time frames.

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GBPJPY Price Action: Pin bar Trade Setup Pulls higher. July 15, 2013

 

I had brought the attention of my blog followers to the double Pin Bar on this pair in my trade commentary of the 12th of July, indicating that it suggested that the bulls were more in control of the market at that point. However, I got some emails and comments from some of my blog readers, contesting the efficacy of the trade setup. It is important to note that not all trade setups will lead eventually to profits, some will fail but we must endeavour to always trade what we see and not what we feel. 

My bias remains bullish and bullish entries still could be sort on the intra-day Time frames.

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USDCAD Price Action: Inside Bar Trade Setup. Against Market Open, July 14, 2013.

 

USDCAD broke through its key support on Thursday July  11, 2013 and failed to close above it at the end of trading on friday, July 12. If price still fails to close above this Key support zone during early trading in the new week, we then should see further selloff of this pair toward the next Key support at about 1.0167.  Following this scenario, our bias shifts to bearish and attention would be more on the intraday timeframes for good price action sell setups to join the emerging bearish trend.

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Weekly Trade Room result: Week ending July 12, 2013.

InstaForex Companies Group

Account: 60607288		Name: APAFTT FX					Currency: USD		Leverage: 1:500		2013 July 14, 10:53
Closed Transactions:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P	Close Time	Price	Commission	Taxes	Swap	Profit
173192559	2013.07.08 15:52	buy	2.00	eurjpy	129.85	129.87	132.60	2013.07.09 17:02	129.87	0.00	0.00	0.16	3.95
173384172	2013.07.09 12:47	sell	2.00	eurcad	1.3580	1.3621	1.3488	2013.07.09 17:55	1.3488	0.00	0.00	0.00	174.49
173465023	2013.07.09 19:26	sell	2.00	usdcad	1.0528	1.0611	1.0420	2013.07.11 01:47	1.0420	0.00	0.00	1.14	207.29
173534902	2013.07.10 08:11	sell	2.00	nzdjpy	79.02	78.92	77.02	2013.07.11 04:30	78.92	0.00	0.00	-2.35	20.13
173659263	2013.07.10 21:08	sell	2.00	usdzar	10.0276	10.0874	9.7738	2013.07.11 08:32	9.8965	0.00	0.00	3.27	264.94
173855396	2013.07.11 08:41	sell	2.00	audjpy	91.58	92.23	90.12	2013.07.11 23:30	90.87	0.00	0.00	0.00	143.64
173910030	2013.07.11 12:08	buy limit	2.00	eurnzd	1.6523	1.6361	1.6861	2013.07.11 22:15	1.6734	cancelled
173910181	2013.07.11 12:09	buy limit	2.00	gbpaud	1.6326	1.6215	1.6678	2013.07.11 22:15	1.6568	cancelled
173957121	2013.07.11 16:06	sell	2.00	gbpjpy	149.63	150.46	148.79	2013.07.11 21:59	150.46	0.00	0.00	0.00	-167.56
174053839	2013.07.11 23:58	buy limit	2.00	nzdusd	0.7825	0.7750	0.7957	2013.07.12 00:41	0.7847	cancelled
174124008	2013.07.12 12:02	sell limit	2.00	eurgbp	0.8620	0.8643	0.8488	2013.07.12 12:08	0.8614	cancelled
174244698	2013.07.14 01:52	balance	trade result for 2013-05										351.89
										0.00	0.00	2.22	646.88
Closed P/L:												649.10
Open Trades:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P		Price	Commission	Taxes	Swap	Profit
174124729	2013.07.12 12:08	sell	2.00	eurgbp	0.8614	0.8670	0.8488		0.8653	0.00	0.00	-0.33	-117.88
174057849	2013.07.12 00:31	buy	2.00	eurjpy	129.70	127.93	132.60		129.62	0.00	0.00	0.16	-16.13
174099649	2013.07.12 09:43	sell	2.00	usdjpy	99.01	100.64	97.44		99.23	0.00	0.00	-0.06	-44.34
										0.00	0.00	-0.23	-178.35
										Floating P/L:		-178.58
Working Orders:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P	Market Price
No transactions
Summary:
Deposit/Withdrawal:		351.89		Credit Facility:				0.00
Closed Trade P/L:		649.10		Floating P/L:				-178.58	Margin:			144.56
Balance:		7 533.75		Equity:				7 355.17	Free Margin:			7 210.61
Details:
Gross Profit:		816.66		Gross Loss:				167.56	Total Net Profit:			649.10
Profit Factor:		4.87		Expected Payoff:				92.73
Absolute Drawdown:		0.00		Maximal Drawdown:				167.56 (2.33%)	Relative Drawdown:			2.33% (167.56)
Total Trades:		7		Short Positions (won %):				6 (83.33%)	Long Positions (won %):			1 (100.00%)
Profit Trades (% of total):								6 (85.71%)	Loss trades (% of total):			1 (14.29%)
Largest		profit trade:						268.21	loss trade:			-167.56
Average		profit trade:						136.11	loss trade:			-167.56
Maximum		consecutive wins ($):						5 (673.02)	consecutive losses ($):			1 (-167.56)
Maximal		consecutive profit (count):						673.02 (5)	consecutive loss (count):			-167.56 (1)
Average		consecutive wins:						3	consecutive losses:			1

GBPJPY Price Action: Pin bar Trade Setup. July 12, 2013

 

GBPJPY has been trading within its demand zone for just over a month and has shown reasonable reluctance in breaking through it, leaving room for a break towards the upside. This point of view is supported by the presence of a double Pin Bar from the last two days trading sessions. Bullish entries will therefore be sort on the intra-day time frames, if we get a reasonable Price Action bullish setup.

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EURJPY Price Action: Pin bar Trade Setup. July 11, 2013

 

The EURJPY faced very significant buying presure as it it sold into its demand zone in today's trading leading to the giving off off all previous strength the yen exercised over the Euro. This event lead to the formation of a Pin Bar Trade Setup. Its important to note that the demand zone also coincided with the ascending trendline on this pair. A pin Bar at support at support as we have here should lead to more bullishness, however, there is an obvious supply zone just above as shown in the picture above. If the pair manages to break above this supply zone, we would be in for a new round of buying frenzy on the pair which could send the pair as high into 133.50 or there about.

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NZDJPY Price Action: 4 Hour Fakey Intraday Setup. July 10, 2013

 

 The Setup above looks like a decent Trade Setup on the 4hour TimeFrame of the NZDJPY. The Fakey Setup could trigger a selloff on the pair. The Trade room is short based on this setup as shown above.

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GBPUSD Price Action:More bears to come, 09 July, 2013

 

The down trend on the Cable which is in its 3rd week seems perfectly intact still. Further given impetus with the break of the inside bar formed at the close of trading Monday, 8th July. Short entries will be sort on the intraday time frames on rotations  back into supply zones.

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EURUSD Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Setup, 08 July, 2013

 

The Euro seem to have found support at a previous demand zone. This zone has been very significant in recent times as price had twice this year, failed to break below this level. Therefore, the inside bar price Action Setup formed at this zone at the close of the US session today, could be the trigger for a change in trend however, the major trend on the pair remains bearish, unless price is able to break above the supply zone as indicated above. Meanwhile as the pair rotates higher, Sell Setups would be sort at about that Supply zone, if price fails to trade above it.

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Fakey With Pin price Action trade Setup

The Video Above describes the reason for entry of a Trade Setup Spotted on Monday, July 08, 2013

Weekly Trade Room result: Week ending July 05, 2013.

InstaForex Companies Group

Account: 60607288		Name: APAFTT FX					Currency: USD		Leverage: 1:500		2013 July 7, 21:05
Closed Transactions:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P	Close Time	Price	Commission	Taxes	Swap	Profit
171982938	2013.06.28 08:48	buy	2.00	usdcad	1.0460	1.0417	1.0556	2013.07.01 23:27	1.0496	0.00	0.00	-0.59	68.60
172184261	2013.07.01 00:57	sell limit	2.00	eurchf	1.2318	1.2355	1.2261	2013.07.01 10:05	1.2311	cancelled
172184362	2013.07.01 00:58	sell limit	2.00	audnzd	1.1869	1.1986	1.1563	2013.07.03 18:29	1.1671	cancelled
172184354	2013.07.01 04:57	sell	2.00	audjpy	91.00	91.67	88.38	2013.07.01 14:25	91.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	-134.46
172184298	2013.07.01 07:38	sell	2.00	eurusd	1.3029	1.3104	1.2885	2013.07.03 12:01	1.2959	0.00	0.00	-1.48	140.00
172184275	2013.07.01 08:26	sell	2.00	gbpusd	1.5223	1.5281	1.5139	2013.07.02 15:30	1.5139	0.00	0.00	-0.42	168.00
172230655	2013.07.01 10:46	sell	2.00	cadchf	0.8980	0.9065	0.8979	2013.07.04 15:52	0.9065	0.00	0.00	-0.74	-178.03
172407340	2013.07.02 13:54	sell	2.00	eurjpy	129.90	131.34	127.43	2013.07.03 12:25	129.24	0.00	0.00	-0.40	132.26
172434598	2013.07.02 16:00	sell	2.00	euraud	1.4218	1.4319	1.4038	2013.07.03 09:52	1.4319	0.00	0.00	2.12	-183.25
172541301	2013.07.03 09:58	sell	2.00	gbpjpy	152.49	152.79	151.58	2013.07.03 11:02	151.58	0.00	0.00	0.00	182.07
172585525	2013.07.03 12:02	buy	2.00	nzdusd	0.7746	0.7758	0.7999	2013.07.03 20:54	0.7767	0.00	0.00	0.00	42.00
172583562	2013.07.03 12:35	sell	2.00	usdchf	0.9503	0.9533	0.9453	2013.07.03 18:14	0.9453	0.00	0.00	0.00	105.79
172597847	2013.07.03 13:02	buy	2.00	audjpy	90.58	90.08	91.82	2013.07.03 20:30	90.79	0.00	0.00	0.00	42.03
172607141	2013.07.03 14:10	sell	2.00	euraud	1.4278	1.4334	1.4024	2013.07.03 18:13	1.4334	0.00	0.00	0.00	-101.79
172707885	2013.07.04 00:07	sell	2.00	euraud	1.4331	1.4433	1.4024	2013.07.04 23:25	1.4138	0.00	0.00	0.00	352.96
172744266	2013.07.04 08:26	sell	2.00	gbpusd	1.5258	1.5308	1.5156	2013.07.04 14:02	1.5156	0.00	0.00	0.00	204.00
172766592	2013.07.04 11:26	buy	2.00	audnzd	1.1706	1.1644	1.1706	2013.07.05 10:59	1.1706	0.00	0.00	0.78	0.00
172772053	2013.07.04 12:09	sell	2.00	usdcad	1.0508	1.0577	1.0434	2013.07.05 15:35	1.0577	0.00	0.00	0.29	-130.47
172773700	2013.07.04 12:29	buy	2.00	usdjpy	99.69	99.19	100.54	2013.07.05 11:35	100.07	0.00	0.00	0.06	75.95
172897268	2013.07.05 00:36	sell	2.00	cadjpy	95.11	95.74	92.70	2013.07.05 15:33	95.74	0.00	0.00	0.00	-124.99
172899430	2013.07.05 01:17	sell	2.00	nzdusd	0.7827	0.7863	0.7722	2013.07.05 17:04	0.7722	0.00	0.00	0.00	210.00
172944341	2013.07.05 10:07	buy	2.00	euraud	1.4116	1.4063	1.4310	2013.07.05 11:40	1.4063	0.00	0.00	0.00	-97.13
173119223	2013.07.06 20:05	balance	trade result for 2013-04										28.88
173119224	2013.07.06 20:05	balance	trade result for 2013-05										-15.88
										0.00	0.00	-0.38	773.54
Closed P/L:												773.16
Open Trades:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P		Price	Commission	Taxes	Swap	Profit
No transactions
										0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
										Floating P/L:		0.00
Working Orders:
Ticket	Open Time	Type	Size	Item	Price	S / L	T / P	Market Price
No transactions
Summary:
Deposit/Withdrawal:		13.00		Credit Facility:				0.00
Closed Trade P/L:		773.16		Floating P/L:				0.00	Margin:			0.00
Balance:		6 884.65		Equity:				6 884.65	Free Margin:			6 884.65
Details:
Gross Profit:		1 721.61		Gross Loss:				948.45	Total Net Profit:			773.16
Profit Factor:		1.82		Expected Payoff:				38.66
Absolute Drawdown:		134.46		Maximal Drawdown:				352.30 (5.02%)	Relative Drawdown:			5.02% (352.30)
Total Trades:		20		Short Positions (won %):				14 (57.14%)	Long Positions (won %):			6 (83.33%)
Profit Trades (% of total):								13 (65.00%)	Loss trades (% of total):			7 (35.00%)
Largest		profit trade:						352.96	loss trade:			-181.13
Average		profit trade:						132.43	loss trade:			-135.49
Maximum		consecutive wins ($):						4 (393.82)	consecutive losses ($):			3 (-352.30)
Maximal		consecutive profit (count):						452.45 (3)	consecutive loss (count):			-352.30 (3)
Average		consecutive wins:						3	consecutive losses:			1