Thursday, May 30, 2013

EURUSD Price Action: Breaks out Range Bound Market. May 30, 2013

 The trade room had gone short yesterday in anticipation of contunation of the about 100pips range bounded market but price broke north hitting our stop. This leaves a completely new bias on the pair. Long entries would be sort as price rotates into New Support.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Pin Bar Trade Setup. May 30, 2013.

The pair managed to complete a 1:2 Risk Reward from yesterday's Pin Bar Trade Setup but was quickly rejected as it touched Support forming a Pin Bar at the close of Trading.This setup leaves us with a bullish bias and entries would be sort at the 50% retracement region of the Pin bar.

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Wednesday, May 29, 2013

NZDUSD Price Action: Pin Bar Trade Setup. May 29, 2013.

The Kiwi has given off a Pin Bar Price Action Trade Setup which is expected to send prices lower and if price rotates into the 50% retracement entry zone, the setup would then offer a decent 1:2 risk reward ratio. The trade room has already made an entry on this setup as price failed in its bid to break above the previous Pin Bar high. It is important to note that the pair is currently shaping to shake-off the recent very bearish pressure on it.

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EURUSD Price Action: Range Bound Market. May 29, 2013

 My last Trade commentary on the euro was a complete give away and anyone who went with it completely, would have had a basket full of pips at this time. After the Pin Bar Price Action Setup, price moved lower and hit Key support but was unable to break through it. Subsequently, price moved back into resistance and it also seems reluctant to break away yet again. Price is therefore in a range of about 100pips and savvy price Action traders would have come out with about 200pips from the sell off and subsequent demand. I was in on so many trades and barely traded the euro in all of the rush but Ive managed to make a new entry at about Key resistance and my target still would be the key support.

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Tuesday, May 28, 2013

GBPUSD Price Action: Price Hits Key Support after Closing Price Reversal Trade Setup. May 28, 2013.

 The sell off on the GBPUSD following the Closing Price Reversal Trade setup closed just at about Key Support. There already seem to be a bullish Price Action Setup on the 1hour Time frame, so all short trades should be closed. New Short entries could be considered on the break of this Key Support. In the mean time, price could be pushed higher into Resistance Zone for a possible price Action Setup for the continuation of the more dominant bearish trend.

My Recommendation: New/Intermediately experienced Forex Traders Should stick to trading with the major trend only.

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USDCHF Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Setup pushes price higher. May 28, 2013.

 USDCHF pulled higher from its inside Bar Price Action Setup, with the pair still having room to trade higher. Price Action long entries should be sort on the lower time frames to join the bulls if you aren't long on it already.

My Recommendation: Long pair on retracement into Support as shown above if price fails in an attempt to break lower support.

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Monday, May 27, 2013

AUDUSD Price Action: Pin Bar (Closing Price Reversal) Trade Setup. May 27, 2013.

 AUDUSD closed just above Support at the close of trading today and since we already had a Previous Pin Bar (Closing Price Reversal)  Price Action Setup, price is expected to rotate higher into resistance Zone at about 0.9755. 

My Recommendation: buy pair, with stops below current Pin Bar

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Sunday, May 26, 2013

EURJPY Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Trade Setup. Against Market Open May 26, 2013



1369586476-clip-27kb 

The EURJPY closed as an Inside Bar on Friday with immediate Support and Resistance at about130.60 and 132.05 respectively. The setting is that of indecision and could see price hitting both support and resistance before breaking out. Short term Trade decisions can be made on the intraday time frames.

My Recommendations: buy pair with care as it retests support with quick profits taken or sell pair as it hits resistance also with quick profits taken.

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EURGBP Price Action: Fakey with Pin Price Action Trade Setup. Against Market Open May 26, 2013

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 A Fakey with Pin Bar Price Action Setup is spotted at the close of Trading on Friday May 24, 2013. This showed a  false break of Key resistance following an initial Pin Bar Price Action Trade Setup at the close of Trading on Wednesday May 22, 2013. However, there is a minor support just below the fakey which must be cleared for any significant bearishness. Support is seen at about 0.8450.

My Recommendation: Sell pair at about 0.8570 with stops above the Fakey Pin Bar.

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EURUSD Price Action: Pin Bar Price Action Trade Setup. Against Market Open May 26, 2013

The EURO again faced bearish pressure as it hit the 1.3000 Key Resistance Zone. A Pin Bar ensures as a result and expectations are for price to sell into Support at about 1.2840, while a break of that resistance would completely alter the bias on the pair from bearish to bullish. 

My Recommendation: Sell the pair at about 1.2950 with stops above 1.3000.

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Thursday, May 23, 2013

Crude Price Action: Pin Bar Price Action Trade Setup. May 23, 2013.

Crude faced significant bullish pressure as it hit support at the close of the US session today. A Pin Bar ensures which signals for further bullishness. Long entries are advised at about the 50% retracement region of this Pin Bar and price is expected to target the recent highs as long as the Pin bar low is not breached.

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EURJPY Price Action: Pin Bar Price Action Trade Setup. May 23, 2013.

The yuppy sold into into support and was subsequently faced with quick profits taking. This resulted in the formation of a Pin Bar Price Action setup. The major trend on this pair is bullish and the Pin bar has occurred right at the confluence zone. This looks like a decent bullish signal which could send prices higher in the next few trading sessions.

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Wednesday, May 22, 2013

NZDUSD Price Action: Closing Price Reversal Setup, Hits TP (Support). May 22, 2013.

 This was a give away from my commentary yesterday. The Trade room came out with a healthy 1:2 risk/reward of about 100pips. The Closing Price Reversal Setup has hit Support, it remains to be seen if the support would give way. 

My Recommendation: Stay out and observe its price action at support.

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GBPUSD Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Setup, Hits support. May 22, 2013

One of the benefits of making trading decisions off the daily time frames is that all the minor and some times very volatile fluctuations inherent in the intra-day time frames would be none of your concern, evident in today's trading. Despite all the hush and flush, prices still respected the major trend. GBPUSD has hit support following its Inside Bar Price Action Trade Setup. I had recommendeed that Traders stayed short based on this setup and the result from just yesterdays entry would have been about 100pips.

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Tuesday, May 21, 2013

GBPUSD Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Setup, pulls lower. May 21, 2013

 An Inside Bar Price Action Setup at the close of trading yesterday has sent the GBPUSD lower in today's trading. It is noticed that price made a few failed attempts to break above resistance thus the selloff. Price is expected to continue short into the next support zone at about 1.5040.

My Recommendation: Stay Short.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Closing Price Reversal Setup. May 21, 2013.

The Kiwi has been on a massive bearish run which is yet to show any significant sign of ending. With today's activities ending with a Closing Price Reversal Price Action Setup, price is expected to make a dash towards Support as shown above. But if this fails, price would make an attempt to reach key resistance at about 0.8359.

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Monday, May 20, 2013

USDJPY Price Action: bullish break loses momentum. May 20, 2013

My Trade Commentary on the USDJPY on the 9th of May, dwelt much on the pairs breakout and subsequent expectation of a pullback into support to make long entries pending price Action. Today's close seems to be be inline with that expectation. Price Action Long entries would be sort on rotations back into support at about 99.90.

My Recommendation: Stay neutral and wait out this expectation.

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Gold Price Action: Closing Price Reversal Setup. May 20, 2013

In my price Action Commentary on the metal on the 14th May, I discussed the Pin Bar (off confluence zone) Price Action Setup which was preceded by the Inside Bar price Action of the 13th of May. In both commentaries, I recommended going short on expectations that price should attempt to dash towards support. That entire scenario has come to complete fulfillment and with the massive profits taking at the Support zone as witnessed in today's trading after an initial sell off in early Asian Session, we could be in for a minor bullish stage. The Closing Price Reversal Setup as it appears at today's market close, could trigger the bulls into action.

My Recommendation: I would advice traders sit-out this setup since I am a huge advocate of trading with the major trend. 

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Sunday, May 19, 2013

What is your Trading Style?



In my 7 years sojourn in Forex, I have come to see much different kind of Traders: Swing Traders, Divergence based Traders, Elliot waves Based Traders, Fibonacci based Traders, Pivot Point Based Traders, Moving Averages Cross based Traders, Fundamental Based Traders etc. Each trader should fall into one category or the other and that’s a wonderful thing… being able to explain your trading style or aligning yourself with something explainable.

The truth is that I have seen successful traders from almost these entire myriad of trading patterns and they all have one thing in common: A resolute decision they made, to stick to that trading style and genuine attempts to expand their knowledge in it.


However, I still have seen greater number of traders with no definable style. So many traders belong to this group and it’s unfortunate that they hope to make a living through Forex, without even being able to clearly define how they make trading decisions. 

I once encountered a trader who wanted to make a quick repayment of a 5year old debt of about $10,000. His intention was to subscribe to my trade signals, with a $500 account, his hope was to get to make as much money as possible in the shortest possible time (3-5months) and repay his 5year old debt. I was amazed to say the least. My answer to him was as factual as you can get. NOT POSSIBLE.  

I try to encourage people to enroll for my Forex Course or any other, rather than opt for just the Signals because, it’s easier to get a Forex course that would suit you than getting a signal provider that would match your needs. What do I mean by this? If you have no idea how the signals are generated, many would find it difficult to stay calm when the signals do not come or when they see that the market is moving/volatile. But the individual with some experience in how the signal is generated would remain calm and may also realize that no trader can make pips in all market conditions.

Therefore, my advice to traders or intending traders is to seek knowledge. Invest in yourself! Whether you intend to resort to Signal providers or Fund managers and most especially when you intend to trade yourself.
The worst thing you can do to yourself is having inadequate or no knowledge of where you intend to invest your hard earned cash.

Identify a mentor, follow him and if possible, get to be trained by him. This shortens the learning curve and would eventually save you many heart breaks of crashed accounts.

Happy Trading!

Chris Ahize
 

Saturday, May 18, 2013

USDCHF Price Action: The Week Ahead May 19 - May 24, 2013.


USDCHF has shown a breakout of the weekly resistance and expectation are for price to aim higher in the coming week. However, Daily Price Action Setups on rotations back into support should be the triger for new long entries.

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NZDUSD Price Action: The Week Ahead May 19 - May 24, 2013.


The NZDUSD has continued to face heavy bearish pressure and this momentum is expected to take us down to 0.7500. Short entries should be sort on rotations back into resistances pending price action.
 
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Wednesday, May 15, 2013

AUDUSD Price Action: Closing Price Reversal. May 15, 2013.

The Aussie and Kiwi move in very similar ways but with respect to their recent trends, the Aussie has been way more bearish than the Kiwi and like the Kiwi, it also has formed a bullish Closing Price Reversal Price Action Setup. Expectations are for price to move towards the Key horizontal resistance level or the dynamic resistances from where Bearish Price Action Setups will be sort.

My Recommendation: Sit out this scenario.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Closing Price Reversal Price Action Setup. May 15, 2013.

1368655846-clip-32kb The massive bearish run on the NZDUSD has approached a halt with the formation of a Closing Price Reversal price Action Setup just above the horizontal support zone. This setup could trigger price rotation back towards Key Resistance where Price Action Sell Signals should offer more oppurtunities to rejoin the bears.

My Recommendation: Stay neutral and wait out the expected pullback.

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Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Gold Price Action: Pin Bar off confluence zone, May 14, 2013

 In yesterday's commentar, I gave a bearish recommendation based on the notion that we could have a failed break of the New Resistance.  Savvy traders would have taken advantage to get in on a good price for the expected bearishness on the pair. The Pin Bar Price Action Setup after the inside bar from yesterday's trading should help send prices even lower, probably, back into Support as shown in the chart above.

My Recommendation: Remain Bearish.

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GBPJPY Price Action: Pin Bar Price Action Setup, May 14, 2013

 The Geppy did rotate lower as expected, following the Closing price Reversal Trade Setup discussed in yesterday's commentary. However, I did advice we look out for buy setups at about support if price managed to rotate lower. We now have a Pin Bar Price Action Setup at the close of today's trading. The trend is still very bullish and expectations are for price to be pushed higher as a result of this setup.

My Recommendation: A long entry is favoured.

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Monday, May 13, 2013

Gold Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Setup, May 13, 2013

The last time I ran a commentary on Gold (April 24), I talked about the possibility of price resuming it bearish run from about its present zone, when price gave off an inside bar at the close of trading for that day. But the bulls managed to push the Metal further long but it now appears that the bulls have finally given up on this push. Notice the inside bar which also managed to close below support. This is a bearish signal and if price fails to break back throuh that support which should now act as resistance, we would witness another round of selling off of the metal.

My Recommendation: Sell on a failed attempt to break through the just broken support.

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GBPJPY Price Action: Closing Price Reversal Price Action Setup, May 13, 2013

The Geppy ends with a Closing Price Reversal Price Action Setup: An indication that the pair is in the running for some bearish rotations, possibly into the supports zone. Price Action Buy Setups should be sort on its approach into the Support or at its key support as shown above, if this setup plays out. 

My recommendation: Wait for price to move into support zone and seek for Bullish Price Action Setups. 

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Sunday, May 12, 2013

NZDUSD Price Action: Breaks Key Weekly Support. May 12 - May 17, 2013.

 The New Key resistance woulld be the key action area determining where the trend could be headed in the comming weeks. If we get a daily price action setup at about the key weekly resistance, that would be the trigger to going short for the rest of the week or month.

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AUDUSD Price Action: Break of weekly Key Support. May 12 - May 17, 2013.

The AUSSIE broke through Key Weekly Support at the close of trading last week. This could leave the doors open for an approach to the weekly Support around 0.9720. Daily Price Action Setup would be anticipated at about the key weekly resistance to  trigger this sell-off.

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Saturday, May 11, 2013

Crude Price Action: Fakey With Pin Bar Setup. May 10, 2013

A lot of people have written to commend what I do but I feel I should be thanking them for having the time to read my posts as well as commenting on them, while some have sent me emails or IM's instead. I say this because their criticisms and compliments have both had the same effect on me, spurring to get better at what I do. I am happy that the hardwork continues to pay off.

Crude seemed to play out a script as written and directed by Chris Ahize. From its commentary on May 8, I had expected a quick dash back into Key Support and a possible price Action Buy Signal at that zone. We now have a Fakey Setup at its confluence zone. The Potential risk on this setup is quite large and would recommend buying the pair from its 50% retracement region with stops below the Fakey Pin Bar.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Hits Key Support. May 10, 2013

The Kiwi has been very active lately. In the commentary of the 8th of May, I did point that the pair had hit support and showed a false break of it. This lead to a quick dash back into Key resistance from where sellers sent prices fast back to support. Fridays trading offered more bearishness as priced raced into the next Key support at about 0.8280. My expectation would be for rotations back into New Resistance from where Price Action Setups to rejoin the bears should be expected.

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GBPUSD Price Action: Pin Bar Price Action Setup, leads to break of near support. May 10, 2013

On May 6, which was the previous commentary I ran on the GBPUSD, I did mention that the pair was now showing significant bullish weakness, with expectations towards rejoining the bulls, at the instance of a significant price Action setup at Support. Incidentally, that support gave way at the close of trading Friday, and the bias on this pair now is bearish. Price Action sell signals would be sort on its failed attempt to approach or break through New Resistance.

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EURUSD Price Action: Breaks Key Support after Fakey Trade Setup. May 10, 2013

In my last commentary on the EURO, I pointed out a Fakey setup as well as the fact that price was sitting on support at the close of trading for the day. The scenario is now hugely different as the support gave way at the close of trading Friday. If this break is sustained, price will make a dash at 1.2840, the next key support.

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Thursday, May 9, 2013

Crude Price Action: Crude in Critical Resistance Region. May 9, 2013

 Crude now trades within critical resistance region. While the Trend does seem to be validly bullish after the break of the daily 123 formation, Rotation back into support is still expected to offer clear Price Action buy signals to join the bulls. In the meantime, a Pin Bar as well as an inside Pin Bar on the daily chart could help trigger this bearish pullback.

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EURUSD Price Action: Pulls Lower following a Fakey Trade Setup. May 9, 2013

The euro got sold off after a fakey setup. The Fakey was as a result of price failure to close above the previous inside bars, leading to a false break and with the coupling effect of the resistance above which it could also just manage to touch, the bears took hold and sent it back down into support zone. I had mentioned that the pair looked to be constrained within a range in my previous commentary on it.

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USDJPY Price Action: Pin Bar Setup leads to break out. May 9, 2013

The yen broke above its 3 weeks old resistance after the Pin Bar Price Action Setup from the previous day's trading. The Trade Room managed to bank some profit based on this setup and we will look to rejoin the renewed bullishness pending price action if we get minor rotation back into new support.

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Wednesday, May 8, 2013

AUDUSD Price Action: Inside Bar Price Action Setup. May 8, 2013.

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 The Aussie closed the day with an inside bar price Action Trade Setup just above Support. The trend is strongly bearish however, we could have rotations back into resistance where we could possibly find bearish Price Action Setups to join the more dominant bearish trend.

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NZDUSD Price Action: Hit Key Support Zone. May 8, 2013

The very bearish trend of the kiwi was faced with a very dominant support in today's trading but could only muster a false break of it. Since this is a key Support, I would be looking out for good bullish reasons to go long from this zone but in the event that today's low is compromised instead, price should then make a dash at the next support zone at about 0.8300.

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Tuesday, May 7, 2013

EURUSD Price Action: Inside Pin Bar Price Action. May 7, 2013

 The EURO now looks set to be constrained within a range between 1.3200 and 1.2950. The Inside Pin Bar Trade Setup could trigger further bearishness on the pair, into the Range Support as depicted above.

The Trade room will be bearish based on this setup.

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